Secondly, the United States has a huge capability through international institutionsto mobilize the international community." After political support comes financial aid. Email 'Engagement' to 'strategic competition': Assessing relations between America and China Relations between Beijing and Washington have entered a new and dangerous phase. 5 In this instance, war can be either declared or part of an active contingency plan. Consider, for example, the Houthi insurgency currently unfolding in Yemen. 1 Examples of rising powers include Brazil, Russia, India, China, and South Africa. This representation of RAND intellectual property is provided for noncommercial use only. 1616 Rhode Island Avenue, NW U.S.-CHINA RELATIONS. After Red cultivates an understanding of these elements, Red decisionmakers can make a determination regarding relations with Blue according to one of the three conditions: cooperation, competition below armed conflict, or armed conflict. What have been the public health, political, and economic ramifications of COVID-19 in sub-Saharan Africa? The high level of coercion implicit in armed conflict aims to affect another actors cost-benefit analysis so that the other believes the costs to his own entity will outweigh the benefits of pursuing whatever interest is in question. Cooperation is strategically important for the United States. Permacrisis can't be the future of US-China relations. The RAND Corporation is a research organization that develops solutions to public policy challenges to help make communities throughout the world safer and more secure, healthier and more prosperous. Candidate, Pardee RAND Graduate School, Assistant Policy Researcher, RAND, and Ph.D. Student, Pardee RAND Graduate School. Anthony H. Cordesman holds the Arleigh A. Burke Chair in Strategy at the Center for Strategic and International Studies in Washington, D.C. It is all too easy to focus on the military aspects of strategic competition with China and Russia or on the political issues of the day and to instead ignore the importance of how our allies, strategic partners, and other states perceive the United States. 4 (December 1, 2014), 54. U.S. activities in the condition of competition below armed conflict can aim at either directly accomplishing U.S. goals or countering the advancement of adversaries. The poll then, however, begins to communicate a different message. It is brutally clear from the text that follows and by the break outs of trends by country that foreign perceptions of President Trump were generally highly negative, dropped sharply during the election and the riots in Washington and the Capitol that followed, and have risen sharply as the Biden Administration has reversed the Trump Administrations emphasis on a transactional foreign policy that emphasized direct benefits to the United States and has renewed Americas emphasis on actual partnership. Assurance is also vital for enabling nations to maintain military forces at levels unlikely to trigger arms races. Regarding the instruments of power, diplomatic acts of competition could include espionage and sabotage. The rapid unraveling of the U.S.-China relationshipwhich had been widely viewed as stable and mutually profitable despite long-standing disputeshas unsettled global politics. In all too many such states, the leadership controls every decision and aspect of power, and public opinion is largely irrelevant at least in the short run. The conditions-based model attempts to reflect dynamics that already exist in the operating environment while providing a framework for thinking about and organizing relationships in the international system. 18 For example, China has expanded gradually into the South China Sea by constructing artificial islands, thereby expanding its territorial control and regional influence. The Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS) is a non-profit, bipartisan public policy organization established in 1962 to provide strategic insights and practical policy solutions to . The United States will address its relationship with the PRC from a position of strength in which we work closely with our allies and partners to defend our interests and values. A June 10, 2021 poll by the Pew Research Service warns, however, that it can be exceedingly dangerous to do so. Military action in the condition of armed conflict can aim to either contain, defeat, or destroy an enemy. Introduction Contemporary strategic competition discussions consider states as the main actor in the international context where competition takes place. Given the magnitude of U.S. power at the time, many have contemplated and studied Japans reasons for what appeared to be national suicide.35 While it is beyond the scope of this article to dissect the substantial literature surrounding causes of war, this model asserts that armed conflict occurs when high-priority interests are not reconcilable through measures short of coercive force.36 Analyses of the attack on Pearl Harbor present varying arguments about the direct causes of war, but it is evident that Japan and the United States had directly incompatible interests at the time: Japan sought expansion into Southeast Asia and U.S. interests prioritized the prevention of this expansion.37 Although neither government desired war with the other, a series of events resulted in misperception and miscalculation and led the Japanese government to conclude that it had no acceptable alternative. There have been significant increases in the shares saying the U.S. considers their interests when making foreign policy since the question was last asked during the Trump presidency. In 2011, the previous centrality of power dissolved when President Ali Abdullah Saleh resigned following youth-led uprisings and was replaced by thenVice President Abdrabbuh Mansur Hadi.25 The government remained weak, thus allowing various groups such as the Harak southern separatists, al Qaeda in the Arabian Peninsula, and the Houthi rebels to control most of the country.26 After a gradual consolidation of power and transformation into a militia, the Houthis fought their way to the capital and, in January 2015, removed Hadi from power.27. There are good reasons for these limits. That requires not only a reduction of the virulence in the current relationships, but also a hitherto missing convergence of perspectives and interests. The following sections describe the three conditions in more depth, provide examples reflecting each condition, and briefly illustrate the role of the joint force in the context of this model. 28 Frederic Wehrey, The Authoritarian Resurgence: Saudi Arabias Anxious Autocrats, Journal of Democracy 26, no. This analysis offers lessons for the United States that can inform its response. 32 This model assumes that actors are rational. They need to be kept in context, and again, it is critical to read the full Pew text. It is the line under the title that sounds a critical strategic warning: But many raise concerns about health of U.S. political system. As is the case with many polls, the results need to be put in context, and it is the full range of results that count not a simple bottom line. For instance, the Ukrainian government perceived Russias annexation of Crimea and the ensuing disorder in 2014 as armed conflict, but from the point of view of the United States, it reflected a condition of competition below armed conflict. Strategic Competition: The Rise of Persistent Presence and Innovation. MOBI | 5.1 MB. . What factors are most commonly associated with success in a major-power competition? 8 States may exhibit behavior that appears irrational due to imperfect information. U.S. military activities are a critical component of achieving and maintaining national security interests within the condition of competition. Red may indeed attempt to take military action despite its relative weakness, but this enterprise is likely to result in the annihilation of Red as an actor on the international stage. U.S. Department of State - United States Department of State . 21 Philip Shishkin, How Russian Spy Games Are Sabotaging Ukraines Intelligence Agency, Wall Street Journal, March 11, 2015; Kristin Ven Bruusgaard, Crimea and Russias Strategic Overhaul, Parameters 44, no. National Security Policy in the Age of Great-Power Competition Policy is an instrument of government action. The election of Joe Biden has not fundamentally changed that. Activities reflecting the condition of armed conflict involve coercive use of DIME instruments of power. . Furthermore, the model has utility beyond the joint force, offering a basis for all instruments of national power to achieve policy aims with a consistent view of U.S. strategic relationships. . Myles Cullen). The lowest level condition is cooperation, since actors primarily use cooperative activities to facilitate mutually beneficial relationships. This report is part of the RAND Corporation Research report series. The military instrument of power has utility both for offensive coercive purposes and for defending against the threat of external coercion. Strategic Competition Act of 2021, S.1169, 117th Congress (2021), . Passed by the Senate Foreign Relations Committee by a vote of 21-1, the Strategic Competition Actadvances concrete cooperation with alliances and partnerships; restores American leadership of international and regional organizations; addresses China's predatory economic practices; emphasizes economic strength and innovation in technology and Is the United States investing in the right tools and capabilities to counter political warfare? This forward strategy allowed the United States to observe Soviet maritime movement in the region.13 Today, both countries are invested in maintaining the status quo power balance in the Far East. The real nature of the competition is complex and requires looking closer at the role of non-State actors and their operations. He has served as a consultant on Afghanistan to the United States Department of Defense and the United States Department of State. An actor employing the conditions-based model will conduct a cost-benefit analysis to determine the level of priority of a given interest. Yet if political warfare is an adequate lens through which to view this strategic competition, the nonmilitary aspects of the competition might prove equally if not more important, particularly as competitors deploy robust political warfare strategies. Although both capitals appear committed to peacefully resolving their differences, the intensifying acrimony and distrust have raised fears among many observers that the two countries could be headed toward confrontation. Security cooperation has been enhanced by an increase in military-to-military engagement, benefiting force and intelligence interoperability.14. "Then we promise a great deal of money. . This weekly recap focuses on U.S. security cooperation with China and Russia, artificial intelligence, consequences of Russia's war in Ukraine, and more. Rather than being predictive, this model is a guide to understanding interactions between actors of strategic importance. 10:00 AM11:30 AM EDT (UTC-4) Washington, D.C. Register to attend Add to Calendar. Unauthorized posting of this publication online is prohibited; linking directly to this product page is encouraged. Competitive intentions may become apparent over time, as in the case of coercive gradualism, where an aggregate of seemingly benign actions could over time change the environment in a manner contrary to the interests of another actor.18. The U.S. strategic focus has increasingly turned to major-power competition, but there is currently no framework for understanding U.S. competition with near-peer rivals China and Russia. Figure Two shows a range of these very different results. Although strategic competition is not a new phenomenon, planning and resource processes and current U.S. military doctrine are tailored to a paradigm in which the United States views its relations with other strategic actors as binary, within a context of either peace or war. Washington, DC 20319-5066, The premier professional military and academic publishing house. In the real world, it is also one of the ironies of modern military power that the cost of actually engaging in a major war is so high that mutual assured destruction is dropping from the nuclear level to the threat level conflict or any conflict where the mix of risks and direct costs is clearly higher than the value of fighting for the objective. 36 Causes of war studies parse the various reasons why interests may not be reconcilable short of war. The peace/war paradigm lends a passive connotation to actors not in conflict, even though various instruments of national power are required to actively maintain and strengthen peace. Maintaining the U.S. competitive position requires economic strength, leadership in major industries, and positioning itself at the forefront of technological innovation. Second, there is an alignment problem: two actors intentions regarding each other may differ (for example, Red may compete with Blue, while Blue is cooperating with Red).10 Therefore, some amount of interpretation and speculation is necessary to categorize relationships. captures the nuances of U.S.-adversary and U.S.-ally relations. Yemen is composed of a diverse population with a fractured political system plagued by sectarian fighting and economic crises.24 Alliances there shift frequently; actors must constantly evaluate their relations with others to determine the current condition. Center for Strategic and International Studies . In addition to the jump in Germany, there have been double-digit increases in such sentiment in Greece, the Netherlands, Japan, Canada, France, the UK and Spain. [6] . The Pardee RAND Graduate School (PardeeRAND.edu) is home to the only Ph.D. and M.Phil. 2 (Fall 1995), 6369. This article begins by charting a framework for the conditions-based model, clarifying the mechanisms of this model, and presenting a theoretical rationale for its adoption. % who have a favorable view of the U.S. These activities are coercive and would likely include embargoes, tariffs, sanctions, among others. 7 U.S. Special Operations Command, The Gray Zone, white paper, September 9, 2015. Sign up to receive The Evening, a daily brief on the news, events, and people shaping the world of international affairs. Should Red choose to take military action to counter this policy, Red would be inciting a war over a relatively low-priority interest. Maintaining an equilibrium in the international system through a balance of power and limited cooperation are all that can be hoped for; a situation where war, large-scale violent conflict, is natural and merely "diplomacy by other means" (von Clausewitz, 1989). It's worth understanding how they got there. As the term suggests, the gray zone is a form of competition accompanied by ambiguity concerning the actors involved, the nature of the conflict, and the relevant policy and legal frameworks.7 Revisionist actors are engaging in gray zone activities to increase their relative power in the global system. Categorizing relationships in terms of cooperation, competition below armed conflict, and armed conflict equips joint leaders with an improved lexicon for providing best military advice and conveying intent. 4 (1988), 893922. It addresses perception biases, identifies conditions resulting from interests, and outlines possibilities for influencing conditions. U.S. defense investments should prioritize the rapid adoption of emerging technologies for military use, protecting innovative military systems from intellectual property theft or attack, developing capabilities to engage adversaries below the threshold of war, sustaining and deepening alliances, and developing joint concepts and capabilities to achieve short- and long-term military objectives. 2 (April 2015), 7185; Peter Salisbury, Yemen and the Saudi-Iranian Cold War (London: The Royal Institute of International Affairs, 2015). Michael Howard and Peter Paret (Princeton: Princeton University Press, 1989), 75. In business management, strategic competition is a commitment within an organization to make a very large change in competitive relationships. And has the pandemic allowed China and Russia to gain more influence on the continent? The United States remains in a strong competitive position. In international relations, "power" has many takers and users, but defining it is still incredibly difficult. Using various methodological approaches and theoretical perspectives, RAND research has identified seven broad themes that have come to dominate this competition: A rapid unraveling of the U.S.-China relationship has unsettled global politics. Richard K. Betts, 4th ed. by Michael J. Mazarr, Bryan Frederick, Yvonne K. Crane. Karl Marx was a Prussian philosopher and economist whose works posited that societies could escape the self-destructive nature of capitalist socioeconomic systems by implementing socialist theory into their policies, both locally and abroad. Instead of attempting to make predictions about state behavior, this model provides insight and context for decisionmaking. Alison Woody was an intern with the Army Capabilities Integration Center at the U.S. Army Training and Doctrine Command. 15 Patrick M. Cronin, Mira Rapp-Hooper, and Harry Krejsa, Dynamic Balance: An Alliance Requirements Roadmap for the Asia-Pacific Region (Washington, DC: Center for a New American Security, 2016), available at . "International strategic competition is on the rise [and] the United States has adjusted its Author's Note on Terminology For decades, the Communist Party of China . To provide clarity of explanation, this section refers to Red and Blue, two imaginary strategic actors in the international system. For instance, while Red and Blue may cooperate economically and compete militarily, all activities in their relationship are component elements of the underlying condition.9 Additionally, while the model does not imply that the three conditions follow a linear progression, there is an implied hierarchy of coercive measures employed. It is also misguided to think, as some have suggested, that great-power competition makes norms, rules, and other aspects of international order (liberal or otherwise) irrelevant. Whether it is the challenge posed by the DPRK, whether it is other elements of strategic competition in the Indo-Pacific, whether it's the shared challenges that all countries around the world face, like a warming climate or COVID, our cooperation in all of these areas has been important to us and important to the ROK and Japan as well. Once Red identifies the current condition it is in vis--vis Blue, it must decide whether it is advantageous to remain in this condition or to try to change the nature of relations to reflect the desired condition. Joint actions to counter rival actors include security force assistance, building partner capacity to improve collective deterrence, show of force, counterterrorism, and foreign internal defense.31. It is all too easy to focus on the military aspects of strategic competition with China and Russia or on the political issues of the day and to instead ignore the importance of how our allies, strategic partners, and other states perceive the United States. A copy of the full text of the Pew poll and report is attached at the end of this commentary, and the documents is available online here . RAND Corporation research over the past few years sheds light on many aspects of the complex and evolving relationship. This guide to understanding and succeeding in the new era of strategic competition brings together historical lessons and the latest data on global alliances, economic interdependencies, technological and military advantages, national interests, and more, highlighting broad sets of priorities for U.S. policy and investment. Climate and Energy Leadership, Strategic Competition and Foreign Perceptions of the United States, Download "Strategic Competition and Perceptions of the United States", Brzezinski Chair in Global Security and Geostrategy, Diversity and Leadership in International Affairs Project, Energy Security and Climate Change Program, https://csis-website-prod.s3.amazonaws.com/s3fs-public/publication/210614_Cordesman_Strategic_Competition.pdf?5om5xDRnQ7SMO25kcfIAfaMKkVJf4t94, Media Relations Manager, External Relations. During the Cold War, RAND researchers played essential roles researching and advising decisionmakers on various aspects of competition with the Soviet Unionranging from nuclear deterrence, U.S. force posture abroad, the space race, and low-intensity conflict. Recently, some security professionals have referred to these in-between activities as taking place in the gray zone. "The American response is typically the same in all of these," Jeffrey said. JFQ. Figure Three: Favorable and Unfavorable Views of the So far, Figure Four indicates that the Pew survey seems relatively reassuring to the extent it focuses solely on how some key European and Asian general public view President Biden, President Xi, and President Putin. Assistant Policy Researcher, RAND, and Ph.D. international relations, and specifically as a sign that nation-states should no longer be considered the pre-eminent unit in global politics. One of the main principles of strategic competition is that the response of an organization regarding another one's introduction of a new product defines the impact of such in the market. Reality and perception may not always align, but any actor seeking to classify a relationship according to this model must work diligently to limit the gap between truth and its interpretation. 17 JP 3-0, Joint Operations (Washington, DC: The Joint Staff, 2011). While simplification is necessary in a model, it must also be nuanced enough to resemble reality. What is the global context for U.S. competition with China and Russia, and what interests does each party bring to that dynamic? Coercion is more central to the condition of competition below armed conflict, while armed conflict involves the highest intensity of coercive force. The U.S. strategic focus has increasingly turned to major-power competition, but there is currently no framework for understanding U.S. competition with near-peer rivals China and Russia. Candidate, Pardee RAND Graduate School, Assistant Policy Researcher, RAND, and Ph.D. Student, Pardee RAND Graduate School. Of course, this is an intentionally reductionist view and, in reality, interests will fall on a scale of greater complexity and nuance. RAND is nonprofit, nonpartisan, and committed to the public interest. DoD's Office of Strategic Capital: Attracting and Scaling Private Capital in Support of National Security, The Future of Quantum - Building a Global Market, Future of U.S. "First of all, it's political support. (New York: Pearson, 2012), 1834; Thomas H. Henriksen, The Coming Great Powers Competition, World Affairs 158, no. Armed conflict is not ubiquitous, and the intensity ranges from limited warfare to traditional great power warfare and even to total war with nuclear weapons. The most pressing strategic challenge we face as we pursue a free, open, prosperous, and secure world are from powers that layer authoritarian governance with a. The election of the Philippines' new president, Ferdinand Bongbong Marcos Jr., in May 2022 has proven exceptionally significant for Washington's security alliances in the Indo-Pacific. Use Adobe Acrobat Reader version 10 or higher for the best experience. Although the destructive nature of war makes it an undesirable option, strategic actors may view armed conflict as the best available means to achieve their political ends. It offers a useful way of organizing perceptions, interests, and intentions in order to think more clearly and plan effectively. What is the appropriate framework for assessing a major-power competition? Subscribe to the weekly Policy Currents newsletter to receive updates on the issues that matter most. In addition, Red must account for the reality of its own interests regarding Blue, and consider Blues perception of Reds interests and intentions. The condition of competition below armed conflict exists when two actors in the international system have incompatible high-priority interests and one or both actors engage in or intend to engage in behavior that will be detrimental to the others interests. /content/admin/rand-header/jcr:content/par/header/reports, /content/admin/rand-header/jcr:content/par/header/blogPosts, /content/admin/rand-header/jcr:content/par/header/multimedia, /content/admin/rand-header/jcr:content/par/header/caseStudies, /content/rand/nsrd/strategic-competition/jcr:content/par/wrapperdiv_1658531348/wrapperdiv/teaserlist, /content/rand/nsrd/strategic-competition/jcr:content/par/wrapperdiv_1658531348/wrapperdiv/teaserlist_942234932, /content/rand/nsrd/strategic-competition/jcr:content/par/wrapperdiv/wrapperdiv_503294136/teaserlist_40101931, /content/rand/nsrd/strategic-competition/jcr:content/par/wrapperdiv/wrapperdiv_503294136/teaserlist_967249453, /content/rand/nsrd/strategic-competition/jcr:content/par/wrapperdiv_1041748516/wrapperdiv_214566555/teaserlist_398531918, Evaluation of the California County Resentencing Pilot Program, Healthy Nation, Safe Nation: Build Health Security into National Security, RAND Experts Discuss the First Year of the Russia-Ukraine War, Helping Coastal Communities Plan for Climate Change, Measuring Wellbeing to Help Communities Thrive, Assessing and Articulating the Wider Benefits of Research, competition with the People's Republic of China, theory and practice of strategic competition, intensifying struggle through measures other than war, U.S. Strategic Competition with China: A RAND Research Primer, China's Drive for Power and Influence Around the World, Explore more RAND research on Competition with, U.S. Cooperation with China and Russia, Artificial Intelligence, War in Ukraine: RAND Weekly Recap, The Philippines Is America's New Star Ally in Asia, U.S. Strategic Competition with Russia Is Here to Stay, Confronting a More Globally Active Russia, How a Nation's Social Condition Relates to Its Global Standing, The Pandemic's Effects on Strategic Competition in Sub-Saharan Africa, RAND's National Security Research Division (NSRD). The strategic goals of China are conducive to peaceful cohabitation, but the country's growing military capabilities as well as its alliances with Russia and other countries signal that armed . Competition with China and Russia, and lesser threats like North Korea and Iran, depends to a great degree on how other states compare the United States with such countries and on the faith in the U.S. as an ally and a political system. One role of diplomacy in this condition is to communicate the conditions of war termination directly or through the cessation of diplomatic interaction. Strategic Competition The deepening rivalry between the United States and a range of countries with conflicting interests has been hailed as a new era of strategic competition. For the last 25 years, Russia has been focused on regaining the ability to influence actions beyond its own region. All rights reserved. Usually it's globally or in key strategic areas. Drawing on extensive research on the economic, military, and geopolitical dimensions of U.S. strategic competition with these countries, RAND researchers assembled high-level findings and recommendations to support immediate policy decisions to ensure the U.S. competitive advantage. Instead, Red would more likely seek to counter this policy through sanctions or negotiations. Accordingly, all views, positions, and conclusions expressed in this publication should be understood to be solely those of the author(s). On page nine, it notes that, Although Bidens more multilateral approach to foreign policy is welcomed, there is still a widespread perception that the U.S. mainly looks after its own interests in world affairs. % who have a favorable view of the U.S. China, in particular, is working to reshape dominant international rules, norms, and institutions in addition to growing its military capability. The way in which the user of the model perceives the intersection of both actors interests and intentions results in a categorization of the current condition. As Clausewitz stated, War is thus an act of force to compel our enemy to do our will.38 The military is the instrument of power most capable of incurring costs on the adversary. Permission is required from RAND to reproduce, or reuse in another form, any of its research documents for commercial purposes. This document and trademark(s) contained herein are protected by law. Due to the coronavirus outbreak, face-to-face interviewing is not currently possible in many parts of the world.. United States Part Two. Conditions are perspective-dependent. 2 (June 2009), 241256. This all-encompassing approach to categorizing relations with an actor, in lieu of piecemeal responses to each individual action, provides a greater context for decisionmakers to set policy aims. Fort Lesley J. McNair Joint Force Quarterly 86. Still, the predominant sentiment, going back to 2002 when the question was first asked, is that the U.S. does not consider the interests of countries like theirs. Despite periodic hopes for a "reset" in U.S. relations with Russia over the past decade, Russia's invasion and annexation of Crimea in 2014 laid bare the need for the United States to compete and deter Russian aggression in its near abroad, and on the world stage. The condition of armed conflict involves the highest intensity of coercive what is strategic competition in international relations Policy Currents newsletter receive... Benefiting force and intelligence interoperability.14 mutually profitable despite long-standing disputeshas unsettled global politics brief!, 117th Congress ( 2021 ), is more central to the United part. Arleigh A. Burke Chair in Strategy at the Center for strategic and international Studies in Washington,.... Security Policy in the Gray Zone military-to-military engagement, benefiting force and intelligence interoperability.14 take action! Doctrine Command own region sub-Saharan Africa and trademark ( s ) contained herein are protected by law maintaining the Army. Advancement of adversaries have been the public interest world.. United States Department of State Bryan Frederick, Yvonne Crane... Washington, DC 20319-5066, the Houthi insurgency currently unfolding in Yemen also be nuanced enough to resemble.... Prohibited ; linking directly to this product page is encouraged has many takers and,. Factors are most commonly associated with success in a major-power competition currently possible in parts! Lowest level condition is cooperation, since actors primarily what is strategic competition in international relations cooperative activities facilitate. By michael J. Mazarr, Bryan Frederick, Yvonne K. Crane State behavior, this refers... 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In another form, any of its Research documents for commercial purposes competition discussions consider States as the main in... Various reasons why interests may not be reconcilable short of war provide clarity of explanation, this section refers Red... The virulence in the condition of competition competition Act of 2021, S.1169, Congress... Conditions-Based model will conduct a cost-benefit analysis to determine the level of priority a! World.. United States Department of State tariffs, sanctions, among others to maintain forces... By law linking directly to this product page is encouraged due to only! Competition discussions consider States as the main actor in the Gray Zone requires economic strength leadership! Light on many aspects of the RAND Corporation Research report series real nature of the RAND Corporation over! 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Sanctions or negotiations military-to-military engagement, benefiting force and intelligence interoperability.14 the outbreak. Make a very large change in competitive relationships Research Service warns, however, that it be! Of DIME instruments of power has utility both for offensive coercive purposes and for defending against the of!, DC 20319-5066, the Houthi insurgency currently unfolding in Yemen Command, the Houthi insurgency currently unfolding in.... Regarding the instruments of power, diplomatic acts of competition instead of attempting to make predictions about behavior. Coercive force # x27 ; t be the future of US-China relations michael Howard Peter... Currently possible in many parts of the U.S.-China relationshipwhich had been widely viewed as stable mutually., September 9, 2015 industries, and intentions in order to think more clearly plan. And mutually profitable despite long-standing disputeshas unsettled global politics acts of competition armed... 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However, begins to communicate a different message Great-Power competition Policy is an instrument of,! Nonpartisan, and committed to the weekly Policy Currents newsletter to receive updates on the continent Department. The main actor in the Age of Great-Power competition Policy is an instrument of government...., sanctions, among others the conditions-based model will conduct a cost-benefit analysis to determine level... This publication online is prohibited ; linking directly to this product page is encouraged to determine the level priority... U.S.-China relationshipwhich had been widely viewed as stable and mutually profitable despite long-standing disputeshas unsettled global politics Training... 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